<img width="1418" height="798" src="https://superdesk-pro-c.s3.amazonaws.com/sd-nepalitimes/20221109111152/636b86909c7e80680e067860jpeg.jpg" alt=""/>The B.1.617.2 strain of SARS-CoV-2 that started entering Nepal from India in early April first affected the border cities and districts in the plains, but is now spreading rapidly into the mountains and even the remotest villages. From a rolling seven-day average for the past week of about 8,000 daily, Thursday’s caseload showed a decrease to 6,731 nationwide. Recoveries also rose to 7,226, exceeding the daily new infections for the second time this week.  The <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/latest/covid-19-numbers-slightly-down-in-nepal/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">national infection rate has been pulled down</a> by the decrease in the Tarai, but it is spiking dramatically in Nepal’s mountain districts, where health facilities are even more rudimentary. Most infections and fatalities in these remote areas are not even tallied, which means the official statistics are certainly an underestimate. <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/latest/rural-nepal-fights-back-covid-19/">Rural Nepal fights back Covid-19</a>, Masta KC Even though the national total showed a<a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/jabs-for-jobs/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> drop on Thursday</a>, for example, Kathmandu saw an increase of 500 over the previous 24 hours to 1,139 new cases. Similar increases have been reported in Pokhara, Surkhet, Okhaldhunga and even the remotest villages.  When the number of daily new cases in Kailali on the Indian border was 527 on 17 May, to the north in Achham there was only one new case. Now, the tables are turned. On Thursday, new cases in Kailali had dropped to 31, while Achham recorded 68 new coronavirus infections. Similarly, while Kanchanpur in the plains saw only 45 new cases on Thursday, it had shot up to 86 in Baitadi. The daily caseload in remote Rukum West district  has nearly doubled in the past ten days from 24 to 51, and from 21 to 47 in Dailekh. <img width="1452" height="754" src="https://superdesk-pro-c.s3.amazonaws.com/sd-nepalitimes/20221109111152/636b86939c7e80680e067861jpeg.jpg" alt="">Banke, Dang and Rupandehi in Lumbini Province were all hotspots of Covid-19 till two weeks ago with hospitals overwhelmed with patients begging for beds and <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/nepals-life-or-death-o2-quest/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">oxygen</a>. This week, the infection rates are down and the virus has now moved to the province’s more northern districts. Rolpa had only 7 new cases on 17 May, but on Thursday it recorded 56. However, despite the drop in cases in the plains, hospitals in the Tarai cities are still full because of critical patients in need of <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/here-now/helping-nepalis-breathe-again/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ICU and oxygen</a> being referred from the mountain districts to the north. Some of the increase in the mountains could be explained by the fact that more tests are being done there now, but public health experts say the positivity rate is also very high in west Nepal hinterland. In one village in Rolpa, 23 of the 25 people tested last week came out Covid positive.Gandaki Province had only 293 new cases on 17 May, but ten days later the province recorded 1,159 infections. Gorkha district has seen a big spike in cases, from 23 ten days ago to 500 on Thursday.The most dramatic example of how serious the situation has become is the <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/lost-in-reconstruction/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">village of Barpak</a>, which was the epicentre of the 2015 earthquake that destroyed 90% of its homes and killed 72 people. In the past two weeks, 12 people, mostly elderly, have died in the densely-packed village at an elevation of 1,900m.Locals say there are multiple funerals every day, and there is a danger that these burial processions themselves become spreader events. Most of those who have died were not tested, but had Covid-19 symptoms. The local health post in Barpak does not have oxygen or an isolation centre, and the seriously sick have no option since hospitals in Gorkha are also full. Locals are locked up in their homes, and reports say, many are refusing to be tested.In Karnali Province, those who can afford it are borrowing money to airlift seriously ill relatives to hospitals in Jumla or Surkhet after their oxygen saturation levels fall dangerously low. None of the district hospitals in Mugu, Dolpo or Humla have ICUs or oxygen supply. As the virus spreads in those communities, families of critical patients can only hope and pray. <img width="800" height="556" src="https://superdesk-pro-c.s3.amazonaws.com/sd-nepalitimes/20221109111152/636b86969c7e80680e067862jpeg.jpg" alt="">At the other end of Nepal, in the roadless village of Ghunsa at 3,200m in the Kangchenjunga Conservation Area, Covid-19 has infected someone in every one of the 40 households. The local health post is overwhelmed, but has managed to porter in some oxygen cylinders to treat the more serious patients. The trans-Himalayan districts of Manang and Mustang were the only ones with no Covid-19, and no lockdown. Manang had zero cases ten days ago, but on Thursday 76 people tested positive. Even though Kathmandu Valley has seen a flattening of the peak, surrounding districts are seeing a steep spike in the past week. The daily caseload in Makwanpur has gone up from 17 to 101, and from 85 to 342 in Dhading in just seven days. Most of the critical cases from these districts are being taken by ambulance to city hospitals in Kathmandu.The second wave of the pandemic is subsiding in the Tarai, with Province 2 recording only 480 new cases, when it was averaging 600 daily cases till two weeks ago. Read also: <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/here-now/at-the-covid-19-frontlines-in-rural-nepal/">At the Covid-19 frontlines in rural Nepal</a>, Priti Thapa

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In Nepal, virus climbs from plains to mountains

<img width="1418" height="798" src="https://superdesk-pro-c.s3.amazonaws.com/sd-nepalitimes/20221110131128/636cee999c7e80680e09ae3djpeg.jpg" alt=""/>The B.1.617.2 strain of SARS-CoV-2 that started entering Nepal from India in early April first affected the border cities and districts in the plains, but is now spreading rapidly into the mountains and even the remotest villages. From a rolling seven-day average for the past week of about 8,000 daily, Thursday’s caseload showed a decrease to 6,731 nationwide. Recoveries also rose to 7,226, exceeding the daily new infections for the second time this week.  The <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/latest/covid-19-numbers-slightly-down-in-nepal/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">national infection rate has been pulled down</a> by the decrease in the Tarai, but it is spiking dramatically in Nepal’s mountain districts, where health facilities are even more rudimentary. Most infections and fatalities in these remote areas are not even tallied, which means the official statistics are certainly an underestimate. <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/latest/rural-nepal-fights-back-covid-19/">Rural Nepal fights back Covid-19</a>, Masta KC Even though the national total showed a<a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/jabs-for-jobs/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"> drop on Thursday</a>, for example, Kathmandu saw an increase of 500 over the previous 24 hours to 1,139 new cases. Similar increases have been reported in Pokhara, Surkhet, Okhaldhunga and even the remotest villages.  When the number of daily new cases in Kailali on the Indian border was 527 on 17 May, to the north in Achham there was only one new case. Now, the tables are turned. On Thursday, new cases in Kailali had dropped to 31, while Achham recorded 68 new coronavirus infections. Similarly, while Kanchanpur in the plains saw only 45 new cases on Thursday, it had shot up to 86 in Baitadi. The daily caseload in remote Rukum West district  has nearly doubled in the past ten days from 24 to 51, and from 21 to 47 in Dailekh. <img width="1452" height="754" src="https://superdesk-pro-c.s3.amazonaws.com/sd-nepalitimes/20221110131128/636cee9c9c7e80680e09ae3ejpeg.jpg" alt="">Banke, Dang and Rupandehi in Lumbini Province were all hotspots of Covid-19 till two weeks ago with hospitals overwhelmed with patients begging for beds and <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/nepals-life-or-death-o2-quest/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">oxygen</a>. This week, the infection rates are down and the virus has now moved to the province’s more northern districts. Rolpa had only 7 new cases on 17 May, but on Thursday it recorded 56. However, despite the drop in cases in the plains, hospitals in the Tarai cities are still full because of critical patients in need of <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/here-now/helping-nepalis-breathe-again/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">ICU and oxygen</a> being referred from the mountain districts to the north. Some of the increase in the mountains could be explained by the fact that more tests are being done there now, but public health experts say the positivity rate is also very high in west Nepal hinterland. In one village in Rolpa, 23 of the 25 people tested last week came out Covid positive.Gandaki Province had only 293 new cases on 17 May, but ten days later the province recorded 1,159 infections. Gorkha district has seen a big spike in cases, from 23 ten days ago to 500 on Thursday.The most dramatic example of how serious the situation has become is the <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/banner/lost-in-reconstruction/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">village of Barpak</a>, which was the epicentre of the 2015 earthquake that destroyed 90% of its homes and killed 72 people. In the past two weeks, 12 people, mostly elderly, have died in the densely-packed village at an elevation of 1,900m.Locals say there are multiple funerals every day, and there is a danger that these burial processions themselves become spreader events. Most of those who have died were not tested, but had Covid-19 symptoms. The local health post in Barpak does not have oxygen or an isolation centre, and the seriously sick have no option since hospitals in Gorkha are also full. Locals are locked up in their homes, and reports say, many are refusing to be tested.In Karnali Province, those who can afford it are borrowing money to airlift seriously ill relatives to hospitals in Jumla or Surkhet after their oxygen saturation levels fall dangerously low. None of the district hospitals in Mugu, Dolpo or Humla have ICUs or oxygen supply. As the virus spreads in those communities, families of critical patients can only hope and pray. <img width="800" height="556" src="https://superdesk-pro-c.s3.amazonaws.com/sd-nepalitimes/20221110131128/636cee9f9c7e80680e09ae3fjpeg.jpg" alt="">At the other end of Nepal, in the roadless village of Ghunsa at 3,200m in the Kangchenjunga Conservation Area, Covid-19 has infected someone in every one of the 40 households. The local health post is overwhelmed, but has managed to porter in some oxygen cylinders to treat the more serious patients. The trans-Himalayan districts of Manang and Mustang were the only ones with no Covid-19, and no lockdown. Manang had zero cases ten days ago, but on Thursday 76 people tested positive. Even though Kathmandu Valley has seen a flattening of the peak, surrounding districts are seeing a steep spike in the past week. The daily caseload in Makwanpur has gone up from 17 to 101, and from 85 to 342 in Dhading in just seven days. Most of the critical cases from these districts are being taken by ambulance to city hospitals in Kathmandu.The second wave of the pandemic is subsiding in the Tarai, with Province 2 recording only 480 new cases, when it was averaging 600 daily cases till two weeks ago. Read also: <a href="https://www.nepalitimes.com/here-now/at-the-covid-19-frontlines-in-rural-nepal/">At the Covid-19 frontlines in rural Nepal</a>, Priti Thapa

It is only April, and Himalayan expeditions are already making rotations to acclimatise on Annapurna and Dhaulagiri, and will soon be making summit pushes.&nbsp; On Mt Everest, Icefall Doctors are fixing ropes and ladders into the Western Cwm as international climbers arrive at Base Camp. Spring 2026 is going to be the busiest and most crowded so far in the Nepal Himalaya. The main reason is that China has closed expeditions from the north side for eight-thousanders Everest and Cho Oyu, and also Xixapangma.&nbsp; The closure is informal, from what one can make out. The Chinese have not put out any official statement, but there are no permits either. The reason seemingly was the ‘Rising Dragon’ firework display last September by pyrotechnic artist Cai Guo-Qiang near Xigatse.&nbsp; Working with outdoor wear company Arc’teryx, Guo-Qiang set off an impressive sequence of orange and white fireworks that wound up a mountain. The spectacular display was criticised for damaging the fragile ecology of the Tibetan Plateau. But this cannot be the only reason the north side is closed. Experienced Everest blogger Alan Arnette anticipates that about 125 climbers will shift to the Nepal side of the mountains, and expects there to be up to 900 summits this spring — up from the highest spring number so far of 876 climbers on top in 2019.&nbsp;  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260404050428_8c31812bf38f699c4faa74f25814a6ddaee397f71a629e549023f29250f05082.jpg" data-media-id="editor_0" data-image-id="20260404050428_8c31812bf38f699c4faa74f25814a6ddaee397f71a629e549023f29250f05082" data-rendition-name="original" width="1500" height="1000" loading="lazy" alt="mountaineering"> <figcaption>Photo: KARMA TENZING</figcaption> </figure>  The early Base Camp arrivals are having problems with their first rotations because of heavy snow this season. Unlike previous springs, this year has seen back-to-back blizzards at high altitudes since February. The increased snow load on the slopes have increased avalanche danger right across the mountains.&nbsp; There has been an increase in numbers on Everest despite the West Asia war, flight disruptions, LPG shortage and new regulations. The permit fee has gone up for the first time since 2015 from $11,000 to $15,000 this year.&nbsp; The Tourism Bill passed by Nepal’s Upper House last year would have required climbers to have first summitted a 7,000m peak in Nepal before attempting Everest. However, the Department of Tourism has confirmed that there are no new experience requirements this season. Some want this rule changed to include 7,000m peaks anywhere in the world. That could be one reason people are rushing to climb Everest before the Nepal government changes its mind and enforces the new regulations on prior experience on Everest. “It’s probably going to encourage a lot of people that simply are not ready to go,” reckons Alan Arnette. “Once again, we may see a lot of inexperienced people on the mountain trying to get in before the rule comes into place, if it does.”&nbsp; Arnette has always been sceptical of Everest regulations, and points out many instances where rules have been announced but not implemented over the ten years that he has been tracking them. For example, a helicopter ban to Everest Base Camp was announced last year, but rescinded. A rule requiring climbers to bring down waste was never seriously enforced. Since there is so much money involved for the government and for the operators, any any rule that would reduce revenue is never fully implemented. This year there is another ‘High-Altitude Trash Quota’ rule requiring climbers and guides operating above Camp 2 to collect and bring down at least 2kg of waste from the higher camps.&nbsp; The Nepal government has tried to diversify peaks on offer by reducing the royalty on climbs, but the draw of Everest, Annapurna and other eight-thousanders seems to be too great. Even when the permit fees for some remote peaks like Kangri Shar, Himlung and Api, were reduced to $400, there are few takers.&nbsp;  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260402120436_a90cd44858e97086f773aa1fbd592b3434bb07d89cd4a1843b2ca32a84e7c72d.jpg" data-media-id="editor_1" data-image-id="20260402120436_a90cd44858e97086f773aa1fbd592b3434bb07d89cd4a1843b2ca32a84e7c72d" data-rendition-name="original" width="1500" height="1125" loading="lazy" alt="Photo Damien Francois"> <figcaption>Photo: DAMIEN FRANCOIS</figcaption> </figure>  TIME LAPSE Clients and expedition operators have been trying to shorten the time needed to complete an Everest expedition from the city of origin to the top and back. Since Nepal has no rules about spending a certain number of days in acclimatisation, this has allowed some expedition organisers to use new technology.&nbsp; Austrian operator Lukas Furtenbach last May led a group of four British ex-military clients to the summit within a week of leaving London. This climb was scrutinised because the group had practiced breathing xenon gas, a substance that increases the count of red blood cells and is banned in competitive sports. The climbers had also trained for months at home in hypoxic tents, and used supplemental oxygen during the actual climb.&nbsp; The success of that expedition prompted an investigation by Nepal’s Ministry of Culture, Tourism, and Civil Aviation, but there was nothing it could do because the team had taken the xenon in Germany two weeks before their trip. But even if they had administered the gas in Nepal, it would technically not be illegal. Furtenbach is firmly in favour of speed, and of using the gas. “The only reason why we are working with xenon is to make climbing safer, to protect climbers from high altitude sickness,” he says, arguing that the less time climbers spend on the mountains, the less their exposure is to disasters, sickness, and they also generate less trash.&nbsp; His firm, Furtenbach Adventure, offers a three-week Everest South Flash expedition, at a cost of €100,000, using custom oxygen systems. Other expeditions take up to two months.&nbsp; A young American duo of Ryan Mitchell and Justin Sockett got to Everest Base Camp five days ago. They are preparing for an oxygen-free summit attempt.&nbsp; ‘ Being around these mountains for one day has already brought me so much joy. Every time I come back to the Khumbu I feel more familiar and connected,’ posted Mitchell. He and Sockett have since summitted Lobuche East (6,119m) as they continue to acclimatise and wait for the Khumbu Icefall route to be fixed.&nbsp; There are other sans-O2 trips planned this climbing season in Nepal. Norwegian Kristin Harila, the fastest in the world to climb all 14 8,000ers (in 92 days), is attempting the Nuptse, Lhotse, and Everest three-peak climb without supplemental oxygen. American Tyler Andrews and Ecuadorian Karl Egloff are continuing their race to break records in Everest. While Andrews is attempting the Fastest Known Time from Base Camp to the top without oxygen, Egloff is taking it a step further and going for a round trip: from Base Camp to the summit and back in record time.&nbsp; Both Egloff and Andrews had attempted these climbs in 2025 spring, but abandoned around 7,000m due to bad weather.&nbsp; Kami Rita Sherpa wants to extend his all-time record of total Everest summits to 32, while Kenton Cool from England is chasing 20, a non-Nepali record.&nbsp; The first summits of the season will be in late April, or early May depending on weather. Besides Everest, there are a lot of interesting climbs on lesser known peaks.&nbsp; The Japanese trio of Masayuki Takenaka, Tatsuro Sugimoto, and Ryota Nomura, for example, are attempting the unclimbed Jarkya Himal (6,473m) near Manaslu. &nbsp;&nbsp; <h2>Fake rescues</h2>  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260402120436_600c0176e24327fd3dfcfd634e4b871f3e5314aa00eb4885ad137ac6f9c4a3b6.jpg" data-media-id="editor_2" data-image-id="20260402120436_600c0176e24327fd3dfcfd634e4b871f3e5314aa00eb4885ad137ac6f9c4a3b6" data-rendition-name="original" width="800" height="519" loading="lazy" alt="Fake rescues"> </figure>  This year’s spring climbing season has coincided with Nepal’s new government taking action against alleged perpetrators in fake rescues and insurance fraud. The Central Investigation Bureau (CIB) has already arrested more than a dozen trekking agency executives, hospital managers and helicopter company executives for medevac insurance fraud. Climbers are known to fabricate medical emergencies, get flown down from as high as Camp II on Everest, and then submit false insurance claims.&nbsp; Sometimes one flight is made to look like many using fake invoices. Trekking companies are also involved in fake rescues of hikers who just get tired of walking.&nbsp; Too many fake claims could lead to insurer’s losing confidence in the industry, and increased premiums, leading to delayed responses in real accidents.&nbsp; As a result of the scandal, there is now more scrutiny from the government about rescues. Already, helicopter operators have to wait for permission before carrying out rescues while their application is vetted.&nbsp; The worry is that this could cause unnecessary delays when time is of the essence in mountain rescue. Already, medevacs are delayed because of the bureaucracy needing permits to fly to sensitive regions bordering China. Last year, a climber died on Himlung because helicopter rescue took too long while operators ran from door to door in Kathmandu to obtain necessary permits. <h2>Mingma David Sherpa, MP</h2>  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260402120432_05c1600440327f4ae4bcae641b634714951f45702080a88d4e2628587190aa25.jpg" data-media-id="editor_3" data-image-id="20260402120432_05c1600440327f4ae4bcae641b634714951f45702080a88d4e2628587190aa25" data-rendition-name="original" width="960" height="958" loading="lazy" alt="Mingma David Sherpa"> </figure>  Meet Mingma David Sherpa, Nepal’s first mountaineer to be nominated to Parliament. Sherpa is a self-made professional climber from Rolwaling, who rose up from an expedition porter to a record-breaking mountaineer and expedition organiser. As an insider, he is now in a position to streamline laws related to Nepal’s trekking and mountaineering sector. He is co-owner of EliteExped with Nims Purja, and in 2021 the two were part of a team of Nepali climbers to be the first to make it to the top of K2 in winter, the second highest mountain in the world in Pakistan.&nbsp;  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260402120432_c4ec586e7a27b09a72e61925a3897d843f864563d9e82a3fd3e25293e22cbe54.png" data-media-id="editor_4" data-image-id="20260402120432_c4ec586e7a27b09a72e61925a3897d843f864563d9e82a3fd3e25293e22cbe54" data-rendition-name="original" width="2082" height="1396" loading="lazy" alt="Mingama David Sherpa"> </figure>  Mingma David was also on Purja’s Project Possible to climb all the 14 eight-thousanders in six months, shattering the previous record of seven years. He was featured in Purja’s documentary 14 Peaks: Nothing is Impossible.&nbsp; At age 30 he became the youngest climber to reach the top of all 14 eight-thousanders for which he was awarded the Piolet d’Or. Mingma David has taken part in dozens of successful rescues of fellow climber, including the highest ever long-line rescue on Dhaulagiri and saving the life of fellow-climber from 8,600m on Everest. <h2>April Fool</h2>  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260402120432_775afff27d4a2889a60730aa25bbc5f8eb8ea343528c8c031a6febbfd74814c4.jpg" data-media-id="editor_5" data-image-id="20260402120432_775afff27d4a2889a60730aa25bbc5f8eb8ea343528c8c031a6febbfd74814c4" data-rendition-name="original" width="1365" height="1820" loading="lazy" alt="Furtenback Adventures"> </figure>  The Austrian expedition outfitting company Furtenbach Adventures spoofed the anticipated crowds on an April First post on social media this week, showing ‘a fully galvanized, weather-resistant steel staircase, complete with a sturdy handrail’ to make the Hillary Step bottleneck on Mt Everest less dangerous.

Nepal Himalaya Spring 2026

The war in West Asia has exposed the fragility of the economic architecture Nepal has built on over two generations. If the conflict continues, growth across developing Asia will slow and prices will rise. For Nepal, this will be felt through higher living costs, weaker economic activity, and growing uncertainty for the millions of families who depend on remittances.&nbsp; Nepal now needs to structurally transform from exporting labour to investing in domestic job creation. &nbsp; The country's current path toward a knowledge economy has a blind spot. A <a href="https://iids.org.np/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/unleashing.pdf" target="_blank">report</a> by the Institute for Integrated Development Studies (IIDS) in Kathmandu shows that IT export companies alone generated 7,228 jobs and income for 66,509 freelancers.&nbsp; We are building digital labour export, not an economy that accumulates institutional knowledge. The Nepali Upwork developer and a migrant construction worker in the Gulf are engaged in the same economic activity, but with different tools. Nepal’s reliance on a <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.TRF.PWKR.DT.GD.ZS?locations=NP" target="_blank">remittance-driven economy,</a> means the country has failed to create enough <a href="https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/nepal/publication/unlocking-nepal-s-growth-potential" target="_blank">quality jobs</a> at home. For millions of young people, leaving the country is not a choice but a necessity to survive and support families back home. <a href="https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/nepal/publication/unlocking-nepal-s-growth-potential" target="_blank">Remittances</a> have no doubt helped reduce poverty. Thirty years ago, 55% of Nepal’s population lived on less than $2.15 a day, now it is 20% after the absolute poverty line was revised upwards. This progress has come at a cost — &nbsp;an economy that depends more on exporting workers than creating opportunities at home. This development reflects a deeper political failure to create meaningful jobs within the country. Since the democratic transition in 1991, Nepal’s leadership has largely recycled the same faces, with limited progress on job creation or industrial growth.&nbsp; Nepal cannot build a <a href="https://nipore.org/accelerating-nepals-startups/" target="_blank">knowledge economy</a> while its most ambitious people are outbound to Doha and Tokyo. We are also not just losing ‘labour’. We are losing the entrepreneurial risk tolerance of our youth.&nbsp; If the most ambitious 25-year-olds are abroad, who is left to support innovation and entrepreneurship? The same people who are working tirelessly abroad, are our biggest asset for development. Their work ethic and the know-how inurban renewal could well fit into the new RSP government’s mandate of 7% annual growth.&nbsp; The <a href="https://english.biznessnews.com/posts/-nepal%E2%80%99s-it-exports-cross-1-billion-" target="_blank">$1B milestone</a> of IT exports is a celebratory moment for Nepal. However, that cannot lead to a pathway to a $100 billion economy without innovation ecosystems that go beyond individual labour export. Companies like SecurityPal and industry associations such as NASIT have made significant efforts in building such an environment, recently championed by private sector leaders as a &nbsp;<a href="https://www.securitypalhq.com/blog/silicon-peaks" target="_blank">Silicon Peaks</a> model that emphasises a home growth tech cluster. The need to accelerate this transition is even more urgent with the escalating conflict in West Asia. &nbsp;The recent International Labour Organisation (ILO) <a href="https://www.ilo.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/Nepal%20LDC%20Graduation%20Employment%20Impacts%20Report.pdf" target="_blank">report</a> shows that LDC graduation is expected to adversely impact manufacturing with losses of $1 billion by 2030.&nbsp; If manufacturing takes such a large hit from losing trade preferences, then Nepal’s services and IT sectors need to structurally transform and shift from exporting individual talent to building firms. &nbsp; A generation’s frustration has finally forced a shift in Nepal’s political structure, handing the new government a clear mandate to fix failures. But the question still persists: what prevents Nepal from achieving sustained, productivity-driven growth? &nbsp;&nbsp; RSP is in the right place at the right time to put Nepal's economy on a firm footing. At the heart of Nepal’s economic underperformance lies a major development binding constraint: low returns to investment on projects.&nbsp; The government invests like a high-growth economy, with gross capital formation at around <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.GDI.FTOT.ZS?locations=NP" target="_blank">25–30 percent of GDP</a>. Yet economic growth remains modest. The problem is not how much the country invests, but how little it gets in return. One way to see this is by looking at how much investment is required to generate growth.&nbsp; Nepal needs large amounts of capital to produce relatively small gains in output (graph, below). For instance, in 2024, the ICOR was 8.29, this suggests that Nepal had to invest more than 8 units of capital to produce a one unit of additional economic output.&nbsp;  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260406040412_605dc527641d2ff2dc5723ed8bbec946898331d5538a55b9941e32a0725bf811.jpg" data-media-id="editor_9" data-image-id="20260406040412_605dc527641d2ff2dc5723ed8bbec946898331d5538a55b9941e32a0725bf811" data-rendition-name="original" width="1827" height="925" loading="lazy" alt="Economy graph"> <figcaption>Source: Author's calculation based on a Growth Diagnostic simulation</figcaption> </figure>  This reflects a deeper issue in how investment is allocated and executed. Capital is often locked in low-productivity sectors or diluted by delays, inefficiencies, and policy uncertainty.&nbsp; As a result, even high levels of investment fail to translate into sustained growth. Until investment shifts toward productive, firm-building activities, higher spending alone will not deliver results. &nbsp; To reverse this, the government must focus on raising the returns to investment by enabling firms to grow and compete. This requires a shift from managing scarcity to creating an environment where capital can generate consistent and predictable returns. A central priority should be given to attracting and retaining both domestic and foreign private investment. Investors do not just respond to direct incentives, but also to policy stability in the country. Nepal’s economy cannot sustain high growth if its human capital continues to leave the country.&nbsp; The goal should not simply be to create jobs, but to build companies that scale, innovate, and compete beyond Nepal. This requires supporting sectors with strong productivity potential and ensuring that firms can expand without being constrained by infrastructure gaps or regulatory friction. Finally, the state must improve the quality of its own investment. Public spending should focus on lowering the cost of doing business through reliable electricity, efficient logistics, and digital infrastructure.&nbsp; The GenZ movement took two days to bring change. The economic transformation of Nepal might take a generation. The RSP can accelerate this transition, but only if it focuses on building a better investment climate for business and not just feeding the global labour pool. Kailash Raj Pandey is an MPA/ID and MBA candidate at Harvard Kennedy School and MIT Sloan School of Management and a fellow at MIT Kuo Sharper Center for Innovation and Prosperity.&nbsp; Siddhartha Raymajhí is a policy researcher based in Kathmandu.

Creating a firm future for Nepal

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Creating a firm future for Nepal

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