India announced recently that it was ‘close to victory in its fight against poverty’, with only 2.2% of its population living below the World Bank-defined extreme poverty line. Ten years ago, it was 12%. In China, President Xi Jinping announced three years ago that the country had eliminated absolute poverty, after lifting 800 million people out of poverty in four decades. &nbsp; Nepal, sandwiched between the Asian giants, however, has not been able to match the pace of its two neighbours in reducing extreme poverty despite notable progress since 1990. Using the previous poverty threshold, Nepal’s absolute poverty rate theoretically fell from 25.16% in 2011 to only 3.6% in 2023.&nbsp; However, the threshold for per capita expenditure has since been raised from Rs43,000 per year (factoring increased consumption and inflation) to nearly Rs73,000, which means the new 2023 poverty rate rose to 20.27%. This means one in every five Nepalis lives in extreme poverty, and the state’s intervention in poverty reduction, international development assistance, and private sector investment have made little difference in improving living standards. Which begs the question: where has all the money gone? &nbsp; “Those who have opportunity, knowledge and access to resources have benefitted greatly, while farmers and underserved communities have been left further behind,” explains economist Keshav Acharya.&nbsp; The flatline in poverty reduction also raises doubts about the government's investment in poverty alleviation. In the last 11 years, it has allocated more than Rs11 trillion in budget but only a third was spent on capital expenses which helps create jobs, and kickstart the economy. Domestic and international non-governmental organisations have spent more than Rs300 billion in Nepal’s social sector in the last six years. The international community has also poured in $1.5 billion in the past decade, with USAID alone providing Rs200 billion in aid to Nepal over the last 20 years. Private banks and financial institutions have disbursed another Rs4 trillion in loans in the last decade. All this investment should have made a dent in poverty reduction even if the cash was distributed directly to households. But the money and its intended use has rarely benefitted the people who need it the most – driving an increasing number of young Nepalis abroad in search of work. <div class="embed-block"><iframe title="Nepal's province-wise poverty rate" aria-label="Map" id="datawrapper-chart-zng7U" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/zng7U/3/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;" height="457" data-external="1"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var t in a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<e.length;r++)if(e[r].contentWindow===a.source){var i=a.data["datawrapper-height"][t]+"px";e[r].style.height=i}}}))}(); </script></div> Critics say that much of the foreign aid is tied to international consultants, most of it is channelled through INGOs or local NGOs which have high overhead costs and very little of it trickles down to the grassroots. Most of the poorest families in Nepal are trapped in poverty because they rely on subsistence agriculture and cannot work the system to access state services. Non-governmental efforts, on the other hand, mostly have local impact with little upscaling and replication. &nbsp;&nbsp; “The actual hard cash very rarely makes it to the hands of the people who need it the most,” says economist Dilli Raj Khanal. “And the economy has not expanded in proportion to the investment in poverty alleviation. In particular, credit expansion has contributed little to economic growth and poverty reduction.” The 2021 census showed that 57% of Nepali families still depend on agriculture, and the Fourth Nepal Living Standards Survey last year showed that 38% of Nepali families whose primary earner is engaged in farming lives in poverty.&nbsp; This means the household income of farming families in Nepal has not increased due to persistently low productivity, and the agricultural sector has remained stagnant despite the government spending Rs100 billion in subsidies and farm loans over the last five years. Despite studies after studies by the government itself showing that the subsidies do not reach most small-scale farmers, the money keeps being allocated and evaporating along the way. The 2021 census showed that only 7% of farmers received government subsidies. &nbsp; Persistent poverty in Nepal is also linked to skewed land ownership. Over 23% of families who own less than 0.2 hectares of farms live in poverty, while 11.4% of families who have more than two hectares of land are poor. The percentage of landless Nepalis in rural areas is about 16%, and one-third of them live in poverty. &nbsp; In the last decade, Nepal’s economy has been shifting away from farming. Agriculture now accounts for less than 25% of the economy, while the service sector has grown to 63%. This also means the income gap has widened between farmers and others. <div class="embed-block"><iframe title="National poverty rate " aria-label="Interactive line chart" id="datawrapper-chart-DGfm3" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/DGfm3/1/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="border: none;" width="600" height="400" data-external="1"></iframe></div> The poverty rate is calculated based on the cost of the calories intake per day of a person to lead a healthy and active life. &nbsp;Nepalis require 2,236 calories per day on average, which costs around Rs35,000 annually. But consumption expenditure also has to be factored in non-food costs which include lodging, clothing, and household items, and added up these costs equals the expenditure on food. By this measure, Nepalis who are unable to spend more than Rs200 a day, or Rs72,908 a year fall below the poverty line. &nbsp; The main reason for less-than-expected decrease in poverty is poor delivery and governance failure. Other factors include the 2015 earthquake and the Covid-19 pandemic. The 16th Periodic Plan (2024-29) cites 4% of Nepalis being pushed below the poverty line due to Covid-19. The poverty rate would have been much higher if it was not for money Nepalis working overseas send home. Studies have shown that remittances have led to an increase in household income, access to better education and health services. The 2024 Living Standards Survey showed that 77% of Nepali households receive remittances, two-thirds from relatives working in India or overseas.&nbsp; “No doubt, remittances play a major role in lifting people out of poverty in Nepal, and the state’s economic initiatives have not contributed meaningfully to poverty reduction,” says Khanal. Nepal is soon graduating to middle-income status, largely because of remittances, even though this is not a sustainable long-term insurance against poverty. “Policy-wise, Nepal is moving in the opposite direction in reducing poverty,” says Pushkar Bajracharya, a former member of the National Planning Commission. “Programs and budgets directly meant for poverty reduction like the Poverty Alleviation Fund have been abandoned. And the most significant failure is in job creation.” Bajracharya argues that the government must extend the social safety net to the neediest population to ensure sustainable results in poverty reduction. And since the poorest people are subsistence farmers, that is where efforts must go. &nbsp; <h2>Relying on remittance</h2>  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20240823120836_6c03c769846a01f0f846235dd54ddc0c0c0dbf61cb0722d729fca14d6a568375.jpg" data-media-id="editor_2" data-image-id="20240823120836_6c03c769846a01f0f846235dd54ddc0c0c0dbf61cb0722d729fca14d6a568375" data-rendition-name="original" width="1750" height="1167" loading="lazy" alt="migrant workers"> <figcaption>Photo: NEPALI TIMES ARCHIVE</figcaption> </figure>  A new report published by the Nepal Rastra Bank has once again reiterated what we all knew — the role of remittances sent by Nepalis working abroad does not just help Nepali households but the national economy as well. What is new in the central bank report is just how much more dependent we as a nation are becoming on remittances every year. In the absence of investment in productive, job-creating sectors, the remittances are mostly used to pay for burgeoning imports of food, fuel and consumer goods. The report, ‘Current Macroeconomic and Financial Situation of Nepal’ for the financial year 2023-24 published on Sunday shows that remittance inflows increased 16.5% to more than Rs1.45 trillion during the past fiscal year. Remittances now make up a quarter of the country’s economy. The record rise in remittances is proportionate to the increase in numbers of Nepalis moving abroad for employment. More than 741,302 Nepalis went overseas to work last year. Among them, 460,103 obtained first-time approval for foreign labour, while 281,199 renewed their permits. The most pronounced impact of the increase in remittances is on Nepal’s macro-economic indicators. It helped make up for Nepal’s Rs1.44 trillion trade deficit last year, and in fact remittance income is almost exactly equal to the trade deficit. Nepal’s foreign reserves have also held strong, standing at $15.27 billion, which is a 30.4% increase from last year and sufficient to cover 13 months worth of imports. The central bank’s usual target is to hold enough foreign currency to cover imports for seven months. The reason for the growth of hard currency reserves is also the drop in imports due to belt-tightening measures, as well as fall in demand due to sluggish domestic economy. The current account also remained at a surplus of Rs221.3 billion during the 2023-24 review year, compared to a deficit of Rs.46.57 billion in 2022-23. A current account surplus means that there is more money coming into Nepal than going out.

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Why Nepal’s poverty rate is stuck

From high school, Nepali students memorise that Nepal is an ‘agricultural country’, and that 80% of the population is engaged in farming.
While it is true that most Nepalis are still dependent on agriculture, the country’s economy is shifting to services. Seven in every ten families also depend on remittances for household income.&nbsp;
Agriculture now contributes less than 25% to Nepal’s economy, and this is down from 81% three decades ago. The number of Nepalis engaged in the service sector used to be only 16% at that time, and today it has gone up to 29%.&nbsp;
Nepal’s economy has been transformed in recent decades during which new professions, businesses and enterprises have flourished. The finance, information technology (IT), hospitality, trade and other sectors have expanded.&nbsp;
Meanwhile, the role of agriculture in Nepal’s economy has diminished.&nbsp;
The strength of a country's economy is measured by the total value of goods and services produced annually, its GDP. Economies are divided into three sectors of activity: agriculture and forestry, manufacturing and construction and the service sector, which includes IT, finance, insurance, real estate and tourism.
Economies move through a cycle of expansion from the primary to the secondary to the tertiary sectors. Many developed countries are considered to have advanced because of the industrial sector.&nbsp;
However, Nepal’s industrial sector has not grown in comparison to other nations. Indeed, while the industrial sector contributed 8% to the economy 50 years ago, it reached a peak of 21% some decades later, but at present has declined to 12.5%.
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Industry is supposed to enhance production and in the process create jobs. But Nepal’s weak industrial development is one of the factors that drove 690,000 Nepalis to go abroad last year.&nbsp;
The lack of industrial growth has meant that Nepal depends largely on the third service sector stage, which makes up almost two-thirds of the nation’s economy.
Nepal’s economic change has been brought about by a lack of meaningful growth in the agricultural and industrial sectors, as well as improvements in Nepal’s service sector.
“But this is only structural change, not a structural transformation needed for radical improvements to the economy,” says economist Dilli Raj Khanal. “For there to be such a transformation, we need to up our productivity in all sectors: agriculture, industry or service.”
The service sector also has inherent risks. While a small number of people involved in the service sector can increase production and add value to the economy, it may not create many jobs.
Moreover, because the service sector mostly involves educated, tech-savvy and business-minded people, its benefits are mostly limited to their circles, increasing socio-economic inequality.&nbsp;
“The service sector yields more products despite fewer people being engaged in it, meanwhile agricultural production is declining &nbsp;despite the involvement of a significant section of the population,” says Khanal. “We must thus find ways to increase both production and income in the agricultural sector.”
In the last three decades, the agricultural sector in Nepal has only grown at the rate of 2.9% annually, while the growth rate of the service sector during the same period has been 6.3%. So while the service sector is expanding, there has been no comparative increase in agricultural production, which in turn means that the income of Nepali farmers has not increased either. That further widens the gap between rich and poor.
<div class="embed-block"><iframe title="The shifting landscape of the economy" aria-label="Interactive area chart" id="datawrapper-chart-8wpWL" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/8wpWL/1/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;" height="600" data-external="1"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var t in a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<e.length;r++)if(e[r].contentWindow===a.source){var i=a.data["datawrapper-height"][t]+"px";e[r].style.height=i}}}))}(); </script></div>
A 1% growth in the agricultural sector plays an equal role in reducing poverty as a 6% growth in the service sector. Says economist Biswo Poudel, professor at Kathmandu University: &nbsp;“Farmers directly benefit from agricultural reform, but an economy boosted by the service sector does not reach those communities.”
The average annual per capita income of Nepalis is $1,434 compared to $824 ten years ago. Despite this, the benefits have not been equally spread across communities. Those involved in the service industry, which has contributed to economic growth, have reaped the rewards. Farmers have just not enjoyed similar profits.&nbsp;
“As it is, there is little possibility for expansion in the agricultural sector because we can neither increase the arable land nor productivity,” notes Hem Raj Regmi at the National Statistics Office.
It is not that newer ventures have not been launched in the last decade. For instance, while the banking and insurance sector contributed less than 3% to Nepal’s economy 20 years ago, it now makes up 7% of the economy.
Similarly, the share of the administrative sector has gone from 2% to 10% in the last 2 decades. But the share of the manufacturing and industry in the economy has fallen below 5% as compared to 9% two decades ago.&nbsp;
Economist Poudel argues that increased agricultural production can lead to further economic growth in Nepal, provided there is an expansion of irrigation and transfer of agricultural technology.
There are almost 2.27 million hectares of irrigable land in Nepal, out of which 800,000 hectares do not have irrigation. Moreover, only one-third of the over 1.4 million hectares of land that have such facilities remain irrigated year-round. The rest are rain-fed fields.
“The greatest challenge Nepal faces is to create jobs in the agriculture sector as well as ensure a decent income,” says Regmi of the National Statistics Office.

Nepal economy shifts away from farming

Samsung Nepal has opened pre-orders for the Galaxy A57 5G and A37 5G. Both phones run Samsung’s One UI 8.5, featuring AI capabilities like voice transcription, Circle to Search, and photo editing. They feature a 50MP triple-camera system, a Super AMOLED display, and six years of OS and security updates.

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‘One early morning, we heard the ambassador’s wife cry out, “Ram, Ram, Ram!” A disaster has befallen Nepal!” She had heard on the radio that a fire had consumed Singha Durbar." This is not about the arson attack on 9 September 2025, but the one on 8 July, 1973. It started in the South Wing of the then single-largest building in all of Nepal. It took two days to bring the blaze under control, requiring the use of explosives to demolish one wing to protect the imposing western facade. As Bhekh Bahadur Thapa recalls in the English translation of his memoir A Life in Public Service: Nepal from Autocracy to Democracy, he was then on leave from the Nepal government serving with the IDRC in Ottawa.&nbsp; He had already served as Nepal’s Finance Secretary at age 25, went on to be Finance Minister and Governor of Nepal Rastra Bank. He was already younger than some of the GenZ ministers in Nepal’s present RSP government. Thapa, now 89, was at the launch of the book in February which was attended by former diplomats and bureaucrats. After speeches by panelists, there was a question from the audience about how Thapa had managed to be the diplomat he was, managing Nepal’s international relations on the world stage.&nbsp; Writer and journalist Akhilesh Upadhyay, who was moderating the panel, responded by going into the section of the book where we see Thapa as an ambassador to the US, playing tennis with White House officials, cultivating a network of contacts to project the identity and welfare of Nepal, and making it possible for a state visit by King Birendra to Ronald Reagan’s America. The book is full of anecdotes that suggest Thapa was a clever and strategic diplomat, always calm and unruffled, easily making friends in high places with his maturity and engaging sense of humour. Thapa’s memoir is heavy on details about Nepal’s administrative history during the years he was active in public service, serving as minister and ambassador under three kings: Mahendra, Birendra and Gyanendra, and alongside five prime ministers.&nbsp; Aside from an insider look on how certain treaties, development deals and research projects in Nepal came into fruition, Thapa goes into great detail about his personal and professional relationships with the kings, ministers, ambassadors, foreign leaders and politicians.&nbsp; As a reader, one is struck by the level of detail around the events that unfolded in Nepal over the years during Thapa’s tenure. Was Thapa recording a journal over the years of the events and the conversations that transpired, or were they committed to his phenomenal memory? Either way, the reader gets a glimpse of Nepal’s recent history from the early days of the Panchayat, through the People’s Movement and the democracy period, the Maoist insurgency, Royal Palace massacre of 2001, and Gyanendra’s coup of 2005.  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/2026041204048_125dc8ae300a1e33124f394abe724d42727f83e067b0201d2008b58d60c459a4.jpg" data-media-id="editor_0" data-image-id="2026041204048_125dc8ae300a1e33124f394abe724d42727f83e067b0201d2008b58d60c459a4" data-rendition-name="original" width="1584" height="1000" loading="lazy" alt="How to win friends and influence nations NT"> </figure>  Not enough is said about the political parties of the time whose presence led to the way Nepal’s multiparty democracy came to be shaped. The book keeps its focus on the administration and the key figures around it, mostly those in the Panchayat era. Towards the second half of the book, we do start to hear about political parties, but not in great depth. Another figure whose presence in the book is conspicuously less prominent is that of his wife, Rita Thapa — the person who seems to have rescued him every time financial quandary or family care became a challenge. Yet, we do not see her as a full person. Perhaps because of the personal tragedies in his life, the children are also barely mentioned.&nbsp; The book is therefore less personal and more technical. Throughout, we learn about Thapa’s thinking as he navigated the world of diplomacy to win him the trust of those who mattered. There are tips here for a new generation of Nepali officials and diplomats about how much commitment and focus is needed to be good at one’s job and serve the national interest. This book adds to tomes that have been written on Nepal’s fragile relationship with India. ‘India has always wished for Nepal to remain dependent on it,’ writes Thapa, who served as Nepal’s ambassador to India and later in the Eminent Persons Group &nbsp;on Indo-Nepal relations that has been allowed to languish. The book has several insights into the Indo-Nepal trysts with diplomacy and agency.&nbsp; China’s role is also recorded, viewed through conversations during a visit to Beijing, but all that was before Nepal’s neighbour to the north emerged as a world economic and military power. The book also has such sudden instances of quirkiness and humour. For instance, we see a young Thapa in America explaining to a government official why he would like to return to Nepal instead of settling down in the US. “Because, Nepal is beautiful,” he said. The text is immaculate and does not read much like a translation, credit for which clearly goes to the team that put the edition together: translator Prawin Adhikari, &nbsp;Anagha Neelakanthan and Bhekh Thapa’s daughter, Manjushree. As Nepal enters a new era of governance and diplomacy, A Life in Public Service: Nepal from Autocracy to Democracy should be essential reading for students of political science, economics and foreign affairs who can gain a fresh perspective on the country’s trajectory.&nbsp; There are dozens of forgotten state secrets recorded in the book, but the reader must also remember this is a story told from one person’s perspective and there may be others.&nbsp; So, what really made Thapa the diplomat he was? I met him in 2004 at the Kantipur TV studio when he was serving as king Gyanendra’s foreign minister. He was there for a studio interview, and I was just done with my English newscast.&nbsp; He surprised me at the door: “Pratibha! I’ve been reading your articles in The Kathmandu Post. You must keep writing.” I thanked him, glad to have been noticed for my work by a stranger. That was perhaps one of the things that set Thapa apart — he excelled at staying close to those in power, while also noticing those who were not.  <figure> <img src="https://publisher-publish.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/pb-nepalitimes/swp/asv65r/media/20260412040412_213e706136a038ec9f5e2b8c6d7f7c1e9ceed9479e22fe2884872ad7bd20955f.jpg" data-media-id="editor_1" data-image-id="20260412040412_213e706136a038ec9f5e2b8c6d7f7c1e9ceed9479e22fe2884872ad7bd20955f" data-rendition-name="original" width="1136" height="702" loading="lazy" alt="Book details"> </figure>

How to win friends and influence nations

Prime Minister Balendra Shah on Wednesday broke tradition and met with 17 foreign envoys collectively, a move that was a notable departure from how his predecessors operated.&nbsp;
Shah had already set himself apart by talking less, listening more, and delegating to trusted friends. But by meeting all ambassadors at one go in the presence of the Foreign Ministry, he signalled a paradigm shift in how he wants Nepal to be seen: no longer just balancing India and China, but as a country confident about its <a href="https://nepalitimes.com/opinion/guest-editorial/tripolar-contestation-over-nepal">strategic importance and place in the world</a>.
In just two weeks, the <a href="https://nepalitimes.com/news/rsp-dos-and-don-ts">RSP has sprung into action </a>on multiple fronts to implement its ambitious 100-point, 100-days action plan. It has taken short-term measures to mitigate the impact of the Gulf war, as well as medium- and long- term measures to streamline the bureaucracy. A few high-profile figures have been made examples of to drive the message home.
Earlier this week, the government recalled six politically appointed ambassadors, the most notable being long-serving Shankar Sharma from New Delhi. The Kathmandu District Court issued arrest warrants against former prime minister Sher Bahadur Deuba and his former foreign minister wife Arzu Rana on charges of money laundering and corruption.
Each ministry has been trying to clean up the accumulated rot from the past three decades: regulatory overhaul of microfinance, education, health and service delivery.&nbsp;
These actions widely disseminated campaign-style on YouTube and TikTok have made most Nepalis hopeful that the party they installed in power means business.
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BACKLASH
But such attempts to overhaul a long-entrenched political culture were bound to face backlash. In their impatience and enthusiasm to get things done, some of Prime Minister Shah’s ministers have over-reached.
It was common knowledge that government-paid advertising in the mainstream press was kickback-driven, but the PMO’s directive that official notices be published or broadcast only on state-run media has been denounced — especially as the media industry struggles to stay afloat.
More serious are some recent appointments by ministers of relatives and figures closely associated with the RSP to key positions. This has rankled because this party built its political plank on ending nepotism and graft.&nbsp;
News that Home Minister Sudan Gurung allegedly had not paid rent on leased land, which illegally encroached on the lake in Pokhara did not help. &nbsp;
Prime Minister Shah himself has come under scrutiny for appointing a kitchen cabinet full of male buddies from his time as Kathmandu mayor. To douse criticism he brought in as adviser investigative journalist Deepa Dahal, who has exposed corruption in high places of the previous coalitions.&nbsp;
Shah’s appointment of another political adviser Asim Shah to the head Constitution Amendment Task Force, is also seen as problematic. He is a filmmaker and former lawmaker, but does not have a background in constitutional law.&nbsp;
Even more controversial is the Cabinet’s decision to appoint RSP Chair Rabi Lamichhane’s legal counsel, Narayan Kandel, as Attorney General. Kandel used to be a UK permanent resident, and does not have as much experience practicing law in Nepal.&nbsp;
Kandel’s appointment drew flak and raised eyebrows, and with the pending legal cases against Lamichhane this appointment represents a flagrant conflict of interest.
Health Minister Nisha Mehta was also accused of favouritism after reappointing Junu Shrestha, wife of Labour Minister Dipak Kumar Shah, as member of the Health Insurance Board which had earlier suspended her. The Labour Minister’s rambling rant at the Board’s meeting on Tuesday has not helped the RSP’s image.&nbsp;
(UPDATE: On Thursday, Prime Minister Shah sacked the Labour Minister after the RSP found him in breach of the party's code of conduct and discipline. He served 14 days in the Cabinet, one of the shortest tenures for a minister in Nepal )
It is hard to know what <a href="https://nepalitimes.com/news/ball-in-balen-s-court">Balendra Shah is thinking</a>, and how Rabi Lamichhane is going to justify some of these moves. After all, making politics, governance, and bureaucracy a meritocracy has been the core tenet of the RSP, and it risks alienating its mainly youth base if these missteps persist.
But at least for now, most RSP supporters seem to be giving the party the benefit of doubt.

service-sector

Why Nepal’s poverty rate is stuck

Nepal economy shifts away from farming

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How to win friends and influence nations

Nepal’s new government springs into action